Lecture Description
We discuss auctions. We first distinguish two extremes: common values and private values. We hold a common value auction in class and discover the winner's curse, the winner tends to overpay. We discuss why this occurs and how to avoid it: you should bid as if you knew that your bid would win; that is, as if you knew your initial estimate of the common value was the highest. This leads you to bid much below your initial estimate. Then we discuss four forms of auction: first-price sealed-bid, second-price sealed-bid, open ascending, and open descending auctions. We discuss bidding strategies in each auction form for the case when values are private. Finally, we start to discuss which auction forms generate higher revenues for the seller, but a proper analysis of this will have to await the next course.
Course Index
- Introduction: Five First Lessons
- Putting Yourselves Into Other People's Shoes
- Iterative Deletion and the Median-Voter Theorem
- Best Responses in Soccer and Business Partnerships
- Nash Equilibrium: Bad Fashion and Bank Runs
- Nash Equilibrium: Dating and Cournot
- Nash Equilibrium: Shopping, Standing and Voting on a Line
- Nash Equilibrium: Location, Segregation and Randomization
- Mixed Strategies in Theory and Tennis
- Mixed Strategies in Baseball, Dating and Paying your Taxes
- Evolutionary Stability: Cooperation, Mutation, and Equilibrium
- Evolutionary Stability: Social Convention, Aggression, and Cycles
- Sequential Games: Moral Hazard, Incentives, and Hungry Lions
- Backward Induction: Commitment, Spies, and First-mover Advantages
- Backward Induction: Chess, Strategies, and Credible Threats
- Backward Induction: Reputation and Duels
- Backward Induction: Ultimatums and Bargaining
- Imperfect Information: Information Sets and Sub-game Perfection
- Subgame Perfect Equilibrium: Matchmaking and Strategic Investments
- Subgame Perfect Equilibrium: Wars of Attrition
- Repeated Games: Cooperation vs. the End Game
- Repeated Games: Cheating, Punishment, and Outsourcing
- Asymmetric Information: Silence, Signaling and Suffering Education
- Asymmetric Information: Auctions and the Winner's Curse
Course Description
This course is an introduction to game theory and strategic thinking. Ideas such as dominance, backward induction, Nash equilibrium, evolutionary stability, commitment, credibility, asymmetric information, adverse selection, and signaling are discussed and applied to games played in class and to examples drawn from economics, politics, the movies, and elsewhere.