
Lecture Description
Practice trading the carry trade strategy: bit.ly/IT-forex-demo3
View full lesson: www.informedtrades.com/25717-how-trade-carry-trade-strategy-part-1-a.html
As we learned about in our lessons on how rollover works in module two of this course, when holding a position past 5pm NY time traders earn interest when they are long the currency with the higher interest rate. Conversely, when traders are long the currency with the lower interest rate they pay interest when holding a position past 5pm NY time.
Like the US investor in the example from our last lesson who took his US Dollars and invested them in New Zealand Bonds to earn a higher return, currency traders can also take advantage of countries which offer higher interest rates. Luckily for us however taking advantage of interest rate differences between countries is generally much easier for currency traders who can do so with a simple click of the mouse.
To help demonstrate this lets look at the interest rates as set by the central banks for the main currencies which we are interested in. As you can see here and as we went over in our last lesson, rates as set by the Federal Reserve in the United States are currently at 2%, and rates as set by the Bank of New Zealand are currently at 8.25%.
Now lets bring up a screen shot of the simple dealing rates window of the FXCM platform and locate the New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar Currency pair. If we buy this currency pair, then we are long the New Zealand Dollar which is the higher yielding currency, and short the US Dollar which is the lower yielding currency. With this in mind we earn $10 per contract held past 5pm NY time as shown in the Roll B column of the simple dealing rates window. Conversely, if we sell this currency pair then we are short the higher yielding New Zealand Dollar and Long the lower yielding US Dollar, so we pay $15 dollars per contract held past 5pm NY Time, as shown in the roll s column of the window.
As you can see here, we can take advantage of the higher interest rates in New Zealand by buying New Zealand Dollars and Selling US Dollars with the click of the mouse, and without having to go through the trouble of figuring out how to buy New Zealand bonds as we would have had to in our last lesson.
Because of the simplicity of this strategy and the fact that in addition to the interest that one earns by being long the currency with the higher interest rate there is the opportunity for capital appreciation should the higher yielding currency move in one's favor, this is a hugely popular strategy. This is important to us as traders not only because it is a strategy that we may want to consider trading at some point, but also because a huge amount of capital flows in and out of currencies based on this strategy, making it a major market mover in both the long and short term time frames.
Lastly, it is important to us as traders to understand that when a trader is long the carry, meaning that he or she is long the currency pair with the higher interest rate, then that trader is normally trading with the wind at their back as they are getting paid every day they hold their position, regardless of what happens to the exchange rate. Conversely when a trader is short the carry, meaning that they are long the currency pair with the lower interest rate, then they are generally trading with the wind in their face as they are paying money every day, regardless of what happens with the exchange rate.
Course Index
- An Overview of the Forex Market
- The Difference Between Over the Counter (OTC) and Exchange-Based Markets
- Who Really Controls the Forex Market?
- The Role of the Retail Forex Broker
- How Central Banks Move the Forex Market
- How Banks, Hedge Funds, and Corporations Move Currencies
- A Breakdown of the Forex Trading Day
- Forex Trading - Characteristics of the Main Currencies
- Setting Up Your Forex Trading Software
- Forex Trading - How to Read a Currency Quote
- Forex Trading - Understanding Currency Rate Movements
- Forex Trading - Understanding the Bid/Ask Spread
- How to Place Your First Forex Trade
- How to Determine Your Position Size in the Forex Market
- Forex Trading - Pips and Fractional Pip Pricing
- How to Calculate Forex Trading Profits and Losses
- An Introduction to Leverage in Trading
- How Trading on Margin Works
- How to Calculate Leverage in the Forex Market
- How to Calculate Leverage in the Forex Market Part 2
- How to Place a Market Order in the Forex Market
- How to Place a Stop Loss and Take Profit Order in Forex
- How to Place A Pending Entry Order in the Forex Market
- How Rollover Works in Forex Trading
- How Rollover Works in Forex Trading Part 2
- Free Forex Charts Userguide
- What Moves the Forex Market? - Trade Flows
- How Capital Flows Move the Forex Market
- The Current Account: How Forex Traders Can Use it to Identify Opportunities
- Interpreting the Capital Account and Measuring Capital Flows
- Fundamentals that Move Currencies - Balance of Payments
- How Interest Rates Move the Forex Market Part 1
- How Interest Rates Move the Forex Market Part 2
- How To Trade the Carry Trade Strategy Part 1
- How To Trade the Carry Trade Strategy Part 2
- How To Trade the Carry Trade Strategy Part 3
- Fundamental Analysis Vs. Technical Analysis in Forex
- Forex Trading Fundamentals Quiz - Test Your Knowledge
- Why the US Dollar is Still King
- Determining the Fate of the US Dollar
- Determining the Fate of the US Dollar Part II
- Determining the Fate of the US Dollar, Part III
- Economic Releases that Move the US Dollar
- A Trader's Introduction to the Euro
- A Trader's Introduction to the Euro, Part II
- A Trader's Introduction to the Euro, Part III
- A Trader's Introduction to the Yen
- A Trader's Introduction to the Yen, Part II
- A Trader's Introduction to the Japanese Yen, Part III
- A Trader's Introduction to the British Pound
- A Trader's Introduction to the Swiss Franc
- A Trader's Introduction to the Canadian Dollar
- A Trader's Introduction to the Australian Dollar
- A Trader's Introduction to the New Zealand Dollar
- Why Choosing a Forex Broker is so Confusing
- Choosing a Forex Broker: Regulation and Financial Stability
- Choosing a Forex Broker Part III: Transaction Costs
- Choosing a Forex Broker, Part IV: Technology & Add-ons
- Choosing a Forex Broker: Evaluating Customer Service
- An Introduction to Forex Capital Markets (FXCM)
- An Introduction to DailyFX Plus
Course Description
This 61-video series is an introduction and in-depth look at the forex market, including how to place trades, the fundamentals of the forex market, profiles of the main currency pairs, and factors to consider when choosing a forex broker.
This is a continuation of The Basics of Trading course by Informed Trades.